Hello you all!
Drifting a little bit from the topic, but still fitting the title...
The new Covid-19 virus strain, Omicron, has 32 mutations
on the spike protein while the mainstream Delta has only 9
. Enough to wonder if the mutations could accelerate that much naturally, and enough for some politicians to claim "we are at war".
Maybe the explanation is simple. Some 2/3 of the rich countries inhabitants are vaccinated presently. The vaccines do not prevent humans from catching the virus and spreading it, but they put a strong pressure to favour the mutated viruses
in the meantime. This is exactly the undesired situation with antibiotics: to avoid it, doctors care to give enough antibiotics, and for long enough, to remove all the viruses, including the mutated ones. What do you think?
Beyond an explanation to the accelerated mutations, this should let reconsider the policies of mass vaccination
. We still ignore how deadly the Omicron variant will be, but possibly a campaign targeting only the vulnerable people during and before the Delta waves would have reduced the deaths by limiting the mutations to the Omicron strain. Hard decision, since we can't characterize all vulnerable people.
Drugs taken once sick avoid this mutation pressure. Coming. One candidate prevents 90% deaths, as much as the good vaccines. If this drug gets widely available, it will be an incentive to limit the vaccination.
Marc Schaefer, aka Enthalpy