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Topic: Global cooling  (Read 15686 times)

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Offline saN

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Global cooling
« on: April 26, 2007, 01:47:11 AM »
If this is in the wrong section, feel free to move it.

I heard that a scientist at the University of Wisconsin did a study on the global temperature after the attacks of 9/11. It showed that temperatures were rising the very few days after 9/11 because no airplanes were flying. Has anyone heard of this?

Offline Borek

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2007, 02:58:33 AM »
Yep. IIRC there were some changes in the mean daily temperature in US as there were no condensation clouds (or whatever they are called, vapour trails?). But I think temperatures observed were slightly lower, not rising.
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Offline constant thinker

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2007, 05:16:41 PM »
I've heard them called condensation trails, vapor trails, and contrails with the latter being the most common.

Borek, I happen to remember that the mean averages were lower also.
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Offline syko sykes

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2007, 09:08:26 PM »
It would make sense that the temperatures were slightly lower because no CO2, was being emitted from the planes. However, a few days isn't a large enough sample to have any statistical significance so you can't necessarily link the slight variance in temperature to the airplanes.
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Offline Borek

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2007, 03:01:37 AM »
It wasn't CO2, contrails are kind of clouds, cloud cover prevents heat loss from the earth surface, No clouds, it gets colder. No idea where do you live, but here in Poland the most cold nights in winter are almost always those with beautfull, starry sky.
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Offline constant thinker

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2007, 06:53:00 PM »
No idea where do you live, but here in Poland the most cold nights in winter are almost always those with beautfull, starry sky.

It's the same over here in the Northeast of the U.S.
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Offline Borek

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2007, 07:25:35 PM »
No idea where do you live, but here in Poland the most cold nights in winter are almost always those with beautfull, starry sky.

It's the same over here in the Northeast of the U.S.

Hardly surprising. But for someone from Florida, or Australia, it is exotic like heatwave for Eskimo ;)
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Offline lemonoman

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #7 on: May 26, 2007, 01:50:32 AM »
contrails are kind of clouds, cloud cover prevents heat loss from the earth surface, No clouds, it gets colder.

Compare with Ash clouds from volcanoes, which cause a cooling effect because they directly block sunlight from reaching the earth.

I just felt like sharing that...lol

Offline Borek

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #8 on: May 26, 2007, 05:01:51 AM »
To make things harder to describe/grasp cloud presence changes planet albedo, thus changing amount of heat reaching planet surface. As amount of clouds depends on humidity, and humidity depends on amount of heat reaching waters (thus it depends on albedo), whole system is very difficult to model.
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Offline Donaldson Tan

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #9 on: May 26, 2007, 07:34:56 AM »
No clouds, it gets colder. No idea where do you live, but here in Poland the most cold nights in winter are almost always those with beautfull, starry sky.

During day time, a large cloud coverage results in a cooler day because the cloud reflects heat from the sun. While this happens, the ground absorbs heat from the sun during the day. At night, the group reemits the heat absorbed during the day and the large cloud coverage would reflect the heat back to the ground.

Hence, a cloudy sky results in warmer nights and cooler days.
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Offline Sam (NG)

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #10 on: May 27, 2007, 05:55:39 PM »
No clouds, it gets colder. No idea where do you live, but here in Poland the most cold nights in winter are almost always those with beautfull, starry sky.

During day time, a large cloud coverage results in a cooler day because the cloud reflects heat from the sun. While this happens, the ground absorbs heat from the sun during the day. At night, the group reemits the heat absorbed during the day and the large cloud coverage would reflect the heat back to the ground.

Hence, a cloudy sky results in warmer nights and cooler days.

Hence the weather in England is f&#^$*@ Shite.

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #11 on: May 28, 2007, 06:02:20 AM »
Hence the weather in England is f&#^$*@ Shite.

It is cloudy sky + very strong wind with cold front :(
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Offline Yafmot

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #12 on: June 02, 2008, 09:58:40 PM »
    Ah, excuse me, but has anyone taken into account the fact that this incident occurred in September? It was just ten days fron the autumnal equinox, so naturally the days could've been getting shorter/cooler regardless of aviation activities (or lack thereof). At least in the Northern Hemisphere.

    Also, the lack of ability to fly resulted in much higher use of automobiles, buses, and trucks to move people and goods around. In terms of seat-miles/gallon airplanes are far more efficient than cars so, if this greenhouse baloney had any validity at all. it should've warmed up!

Offline Borek

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #13 on: June 03, 2008, 03:24:22 AM »
Ah, excuse me, but has anyone taken into account the fact that this incident occurred in September?

You have to ask those that took the measurements and did the analysis. Could be they knew what they were doing. You may assume everyone else is a complete idiot, but you will be occasionally wrong.

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Also, the lack of ability to fly resulted in much higher use of automobiles, buses, and trucks to move people and goods around. In terms of seat-miles/gallon airplanes are far more efficient than cars so, if this greenhouse baloney had any validity at all. it should've warmed up!

Not necesarilly. These are not instant effects. Besides, assuming that there are about 3.81 x 108 gallons of gasoline burnt each day in US, that solar constant is 2 cal cm-2s-1, assuming then 12 hours of sun, 125 kbtu/gal and 9.8 x 106 km2 of US land, amount of heat from the gasoline source is well below 10-5 of the amount of energy US get from the Sun at the same time. Sure this should be corrected for weather, sun height over the horizon, filtering by atmosphere and so on, make it ten times less of sun - still we are talking about below 10-4. Hardly noticeable.
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Offline constant thinker

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Re: Global cooling
« Reply #14 on: June 04, 2008, 08:14:16 PM »
To control for temps do to season, you probably can look at where the jet stream was and the average temps at the time N to S and E to W, and then compare with past averages. This could give you some general conclusion. I don't know if enough data would even exist to do that though...
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