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Predict or provoque eathquakes?
Enthalpy:
Hello everybody!
You heard or read about the strong seism in Chile on 16th of September.
On 14th, I read "bonanza" on a forum. It is the secret services' code for Chile, just like "Eldorado" stands for Argentine, and so on. "Bonanza" fit so badly in the text that it was probably indeed used as the code.
Hence the interrogation, provided it's not a mere coincidence:
Do you believe earthquakes can be predicted with a reasonable probability, or be provoked?
mikasaur:
You think "the powers that be" used some random public forum to communicate that it was indeed time to cause an earthquake in Chile?
You think that's more likely than one of the many, many, many people on one of the many, many, many internet forums using the word "bonanza" in a strange way?
Enthalpy:
It is indeed common practice to announce in advance the provoqued catastrophies. And yes, this is done openly in newspapers, forums, pretty much anywhere - whatever the reasons.
A reason to do it before the event and not after is that the people to be influenced understand it's not a natural event. Though, predicting a natural event with a decent probability and announcing it in advance also gives the impression that it was provoked and serves the same purpose, so I leave the possibility open.
I know it is strange the first times you encounter such methods, but they're just usual.
As for probabilities: there are many forums but I read very few ones. And "Bonanza" had appeared one single time on Chemicalforums.com: just before the quake in Chile. Google:
Bonanza site:chemicalforums.com
mikasaur:
Hmmm. Interesting. Not sure I'm convinced. But interesting!
Enthalpy:
--- Quote from: mikasaur on October 22, 2015, 11:32:15 AM ---Not sure I'm convinced.
--- End quote ---
That's your excellent right. On such topics, conviction can't result from reasoning, but rather from repeated observation.
One good scientist claims on his website that quakes can be provoqued by injecting a few MW electricity in the Oceanic crust (citing from memory). I'll have to read his suggestion and check the figures.
Semi-scientists consider him half a wacko... not because his claims are impossbile, not because they have checked his theories and figures and found them wrong, but because his claims are unusual - the worst possible reason. Science considered as a religion. Anyway, he worked on electromagnetism in a nuclear research body and is one of the founders and leaders of Mhd, so he definitely has background.
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